Publications

Reese, R., De Rydt, J., & Naughten, K. A. (2026). Ice-sheet–ocean interactions and the reversibility of a regime shift beneath Filchner-Ronne ice shelf. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2025JC023952
Winkelmann R. et al. (2026). Mapping tipping risks from Antarctic ice basins under global warming. Nature Climate Change. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02554-0
Bull C.Y.S., Munday D.R. & Jenkins A. (2025). Influence of Freshwater Fluxes and Topography on the Distribution of Water Masses on the Antarctic Continental Shelf. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024JC021644
Dundas V. et al. (2025). The effect of storms on the Antarctic Slope Current and the warm inflow onto the southeastern Weddell Sea continental shelf. Ocean Science. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-21-3069-2025
Chandler D.M. et al. (2025). Antarctic Ice Sheet tipping in the last 800,000 years warns of future ice loss. Communications Earth and Environment. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02366-2
Jin J., Payne A.J. & Bull C.Y.S. (2025). Current reversal leads to regime change in the Amery Ice Shelf cavity in the 21st century. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1873-2025
Caillet J. et al. (2025). Uncertainty in the projected Antarctic contribution to sea level due to internal climate variability. Earth System Dynamics. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-16-293-2025
Kreuzer M. et al. (2025). Bathymetry-constrained impact of relative sea-level change on basal melting in Antarctica. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-19-1181-2025
Bull C.Y.S., Munday D.R. & Jenkins A. (2025). Influence of Topography and Winds on the Distribution of Water Masses on the Antarctic Continental Shelf. Journal of Physical Oceanography. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1175/JPO-D-24-0092.1
Coulon V. et al. (2025). From short-term uncertainties to long-term certainties in the future evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Nature Communications . DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-66178-w
Teske V., Timmermann R. & Semmler T. (2024). Subsurface warming in the Antarctica’s Weddell Sea can be avoided by reaching the 2∘C warming target. Communications Earth and Environment. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01238-5
De Rydt J. et al. (2024). Experimental design for the Marine Ice Sheet-Ocean Model Intercomparison Project – Phase 2 (MISOMIP2). Geoscientific Model Development. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-17-7105-2024
Reed B. et al. (2024). Melt sensitivity of irreversible retreat of Pine Island Glacier. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4567-2024
Reed B. et al. (2024). Recent irreversible retreat phase of Pine Island Glacier. Nature Climate Change. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01887-y
Gerli C. et al. (2024). Weak relationship between remotely detected crevasses and inferred ice rheological parameters on Antarctic ice shelves. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2677-2024
Steiger N. et al. (2024). Observed Pathways and Interannual Variability of the Warm Inflow Onto the Continental Shelf in the Southern Weddell Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JC020700
Bradley A.T. et al. (2024). A framework for estimating the anthropogenic part of Antarctica’s sea level contribution in a synthetic setting. Communications Earth and Environment. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01287-w
Wunderling N. et al. (2024). Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: A review. Earth System Dynamics. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-41-2024
Drijfhout S.S. et al. (2024). An Amundsen Sea source of decadal temperature changes on the Antarctic continental shelf. Ocean Dynamics. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10236-023-01587-3
Hanna E. et al. (2024). Short- and long-term variability of the Antarctic and Greenland ice sheets. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-023-00509-7
Chandler D.M. & Langebroek P.M. (2024). Glacial-interglacial Circumpolar Deep Water temperatures during the last 800 000 years: estimates from a synthesis of bottom water temperature reconstructions. Climate of the Past. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-20-2055-2024
Coulon V. et al. (2024). Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically calibrated ice-sheet model. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-653-2024
Feldmann J., Levermann A. & Winkelmann R. (2024). Hysteresis of idealized, instability-prone outlet glaciers in response to pinning-point buttressing variation. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4011-2024
Seroussi H. et al. (2024). Evolution of the Antarctic Ice Sheet Over the Next Three Centuries From an ISMIP6 Model Ensemble. Earth’s Future. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2024EF004561
Klose A.K. et al. (2024). Rate-induced tipping cascades arising from interactions between the Greenland Ice Sheet and the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation. Earth System Dynamics. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-15-635-2024
De Rydt J. & Naughten K. (2024). Geometric amplification and suppression of ice-shelf basal melt in West Antarctica. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-1863-2024
Klose A.K. et al. (2024). The long-term sea-level commitment from Antarctica. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-4463-2024
Haid V. et al. (2023). On the drivers of regime shifts in the Antarctic marginal seas, exemplified by the Weddell Sea. Ocean Science. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1529-2023
Polton J. et al. (2023). Reproducible and relocatable regional ocean modelling: Fundamentals and practices. Geoscientific Model Development. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-1481-2023
Darelius E. et al. (2023). Observational evidence for on-shelf heat transport driven by dense water export in the Weddell Sea. Nature Communications . DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36580-3
Burgard C. et al. (2023). Emulating Present and Future Simulations of Melt Rates at the Base of Antarctic Ice Shelves With Neural Networks. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003829
Naughten K.A., Holland P.R. & De Rydt J. (2023). Unavoidable future increase in West Antarctic ice-shelf melting over the twenty-first century. Nature Climate Change. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01818-x
Pelle T. et al. (2023). Subglacial discharge accelerates future retreat of Denman and Scott Glaciers, East Antarctica. Science Advances. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adi9014
Hutchinson K. et al. (2023). Improving Antarctic Bottom Water precursors in NEMO for climate applications. Geoscientific Model Development. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-3629-2023
Mevenkamp H. et al. (2023). Reducing uncertainty of high-latitude ecosystem models through identification of key parameters. Environmental Research Letters. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ace637
Nicola L., Notz D. & Winkelmann R. (2023). Revisiting temperature sensitivity: how does Antarctic precipitation change with temperature?. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2563-2023
Seroussi H. et al. (2023). Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023
Mathiot P. & Jourdain N.C. (2023). Southern Ocean warming and Antarctic ice shelf melting in conditions plausible by late 23rd century in a high-end scenario. Ocean Science. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1595-2023
Caillet J. et al. (2023). Drivers and Reversibility of Abrupt Ocean State Transitions in the Amundsen Sea, Antarctica. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018929
Rosier S.H.R. et al. (2023). Predicting ocean-induced ice-shelf melt rates using deep learning. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-499-2023
Zhou S. et al. (2023). Slowdown of Antarctic Bottom Water export driven by climatic wind and sea-ice changes. Nature Climate Change. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01695-4
Hill E.A. et al. (2023). The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines-Part 1: No indication of marine ice sheet instability in the current geometry. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3739-2023
Beckmann J. & Winkelmann R. (2023). Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3083-2023
Sun S. & Gudmundsson G.H. (2023). The speedup of Pine Island Ice Shelf between 2017 and 2020: Revaluating the importance of ice damage. Journal of Glaciology. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/jog.2023.76
Garbe J. et al. (2023). The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4571-2023
Reese R. et al. (2023). The stability of present-day Antarctic grounding lines – Part 2: Onset of irreversible retreat of Amundsen Sea glaciers under current climate on centennial timescales cannot be excluded. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3761-2023
Verfaillie D. et al. (2022). The circum-Antarctic ice-shelves respond to a more positive Southern Annular Mode with regionally varied melting. Communications Earth and Environment. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00458-x
Winkelmann R. et al. (2022). Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework. Ecological Economics. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2021.107242
Jourdain N.C. et al. (2022). Ice Shelf Basal Melt Rates in the Amundsen Sea at the End of the 21st Century. Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100629
Feldmann J. et al. (2022). Shear-margin melting causes stronger transient ice discharge than ice-stream melting in idealized simulations. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1927-2022
Schlemm T. et al. (2022). Stabilizing effect of mélange buttressing on the marine ice-cliff instability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1979-2022
Bradley A.T. et al. (2022). The Influence of Pine Island Ice Shelf Calving on Basal Melting. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JC018621
Nicola L., Loebel E. & Zuhr A.M. (2022). Money makes our world go round – funding landscape for polar early-career scientists in Germany. Polarforschung. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/polf-90-81-2022
Burgard C. et al. (2022). An assessment of basal melt parameterisations for Antarctic ice shelves. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4931-2022
Meredith M.P. et al. (2022). Internal tsunamigenesis and ocean mixing driven by glacier calving in Antarctica. Science Advances. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.add0720
Klose A.K. et al. (2021). What do we mean, ‘tipping cascade’?. Environmental Research Letters. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac3955
Martin M.A. et al. (2021). Ten new insights in climate science 2021: A horizon scan. Global Sustainability. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2021.25
Hattermann T. et al. (2021). Observed interannual changes beneath Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf linked to large-scale atmospheric circulation. Nature Communications . DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23131-x
Janout M.A. et al. (2021). FRIS Revisited in 2018: On the Circulation and Water Masses at the Filchner and Ronne Ice Shelves in the Southern Weddell Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JC017269
Edwards T.L. et al. (2021). Projected land ice contributions to twenty-first-century sea level rise. Nature. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03302-y
Rosier S.H.R. et al. (2021). The tipping points and early warning indicators for Pine Island Glacier, West Antarctica. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1501-2021
Kreuzer M. et al. (2021). Coupling framework (1.0) for the PISM (1.1.4) ice sheet model and the MOM5 (5.1.0) ocean model via the PICO ice shelf cavity model in an Antarctic domain. Geoscientific Model Development. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3697-2021
Wunderling N. et al. (2021). Interacting tipping elements increase risk of climate domino effects under global warming. Earth System Dynamics. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-601-2021
Lipscomb W.H. et al. (2021). ISMIP6-based projections of ocean-forced Antarctic Ice Sheet evolution using the Community Ice Sheet Model. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-633-2021
Chandler D. & Langebroek P. (2021). Southern Ocean sea surface temperature synthesis: Part 1. Evaluation of temperature proxies at glacial-interglacial time scales. Quaternary Science Reviews. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107191
Hill E.A. et al. (2021). Quantifying the potential future contribution to global mean sea level from the Filchner-Ronne basin, Antarctica. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4675-2021
Bull C.Y.S. et al. (2021). Remote Control of Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf Melt Rates by the Antarctic Slope Current. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JC016550
De Rydt J. et al. (2021). Drivers of Pine Island Glacier speed-up between 1996 and 2016. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-113-2021
Chandler D. & Langebroek P. (2021). Southern Ocean sea surface temperature synthesis: Part 2. Penultimate glacial and last interglacial. Quaternary Science Reviews. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107190
Zeitz M., Levermann A. & Winkelmann R. (2020). Sensitivity of ice loss to uncertainty in flow law parameters in an idealized one-dimensional geometry. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3537-2020
Seroussi H. et al. (2020). ISMIP6 Antarctica: A multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
Reese R. et al. (2020). The role of history and strength of the oceanic forcing in sea level projections from Antarctica with the Parallel Ice Sheet Model. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3097-2020
Garbe J. et al. (2020). The hysteresis of the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Nature. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2727-5
Swingedouw D. et al. (2020). Early Warning from Space for a Few Key Tipping Points in Physical, Biological, and Social-Ecological Systems. Surveys in Geophysics. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10712-020-09604-6
Jourdain N.C. et al. (2020). A protocol for calculating basal melt rates in the ISMIP6 Antarctic ice sheet projections. Cryosphere. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3111-2020
Gudmundsson G.H. et al. (2019). Instantaneous Antarctic ice sheet mass loss driven by thinning ice shelves. Geophysical Research Letters. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085027